Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.273810 11.846451 13.534242 15.475076 17.639798 19.974500 22.677352
2025-08-31 7.742464 9.774640 12.115454 14.991173 18.407586 22.314742 27.097796
2025-09-07 6.458273 8.737002 11.505107 15.074638 19.511299 24.797835 31.522278
2025-09-14 5.511969 7.918442 10.978194 15.088129 20.390821 26.923601 35.492155
2025-09-21 4.844614 7.343693 10.652035 15.256413 21.390051 29.162400 39.621068
2025-09-28 4.248145 6.775869 10.251309 15.249565 22.104877 31.014916 43.281113
2025-10-05 3.881800 6.479568 10.173045 15.639185 23.327036 33.537716 47.868046
2025-10-12 3.533622 6.163663 10.025185 15.897164 24.352569 35.810416 52.178909
2025-10-19 3.187858 5.808275 9.779093 15.978356 25.109183 37.720966 56.042356
2025-10-26 2.768850 5.286459 9.231818 15.564139 25.112831 38.564028 58.442588
2025-11-02 2.432726 4.860359 8.789569 15.263864 25.244726 39.564913 61.065649
2025-11-09 2.135386 4.464588 8.357194 14.938527 25.304266 40.441427 63.515536
2025-11-16 1.875950 4.108634 7.962999 14.649904 25.408129 41.393360 66.123198
2025-11-23 1.618798 3.724349 7.485190 14.186709 25.206296 41.871723 68.042434
2025-11-30 1.478136 3.545349 7.344652 14.266456 25.854024 43.632558 71.891577
2025-12-07 1.342878 3.359785 7.174513 14.279347 26.385364 45.223171 75.521520
2025-12-14 1.241462 3.231050 7.095525 14.440166 27.157814 47.201556 79.784027
2025-12-21 1.129139 3.064402 6.930062 14.433622 27.644545 48.740734 83.409039
2025-12-28 1.071388 3.010910 6.975752 14.806010 28.780047 51.332904 88.720996
2026-01-04 1.004310 2.927623 6.955200 15.052621 29.705600 53.611805 93.597935
2026-01-11 0.925717 2.806907 6.848885 15.130241 30.336498 55.427978 97.787547
2026-01-18 0.810507 2.580501 6.505568 14.734277 30.112460 55.834768 99.742692
2026-01-25 0.717339 2.394889 6.229770 14.447287 30.062349 56.516178 102.142268